Every week, John Duggan brings you a preview and investment advice for the top football matches in association with Paddy Power...
Profit this season currently stands at 37% to a level stake.
We are on a good run with the football bet, as Manchester City beat Liverpool last week at a banker price of even money to make it two wins in a row for this slot.
Arsenal and Leeds United promises to be an exciting encounter to get us all loved up with the beautiful game on Valentine's Day - both clubs have had topsy-turvy seasons, but one would be more forgiving of Leeds, who are new to the Premier League and play entertaining football under Marcelo Bielsa.
It's been a mixed bag for Arsenal, who are still finding their shape and identity under Mikel Arteta. They are odds on for this one, possibly on the back of five unbeaten league matches at home and injury doubts over Leeds linchpin Kalvin Phillips.
That said, the Gunners are without Kieran Tierney and Thomas Partey for this tie at the Emirates Stadium.
Arsenal are good going forward and Bukayo Saka is a real talent, but can they still be trusted defensively? It's also clear skipper Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, for various reasons, some perfectly understandable, is not in red hot goalscoring form at the moment.
Leeds have won three out of four in the top flight, they have scored 38 goals on the road this season and Patrick Bamford is carrying a striker's priceless commodity - confidence. I thought Bielsa's men were very comfortable against Crystal Palace on their last outing.
I feel the Yorkshire club may be overpriced at odds of over 3/1, so I am going to recommend a punt on them today.
Football recommendation: Leeds United to beat Arsenal in the Premier League - 100/30
Good luck!
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